Fed's Waller Warns Rate Hikes Still Possible Despite Inflation Shift
Fed Governor Waller cautions against outdated inflation thinking but keeps rate hikes on the table as price pressures broaden.
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller issued a pointed warning Monday, urging policymakers not to "fight the last war" on inflation while simultaneously signaling that additional interest rate increases remain a live option if economic conditions warrant them.
Waller's remarks acknowledge a critical evolution in the inflation landscape: price pressures have spread well beyond the headline drivers that dominated earlier policy debates, including the energy price surge tied to tariff impacts. That broadening, he suggested, demands a more nuanced and forward-looking policy response rather than one anchored to outdated assumptions.
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The comments carry significant weight at a moment when markets and economists are closely watching the Fed for any signals about the trajectory of monetary policy. By flagging that hikes are still possible, Waller pushed back against growing expectations that the central bank's tightening cycle is definitively over, reinforcing the Fed's data-dependent posture.
Waller's dual message — avoid complacency rooted in past inflation narratives, yet stay prepared to act — reflects the broader tension inside the Fed as officials try to calibrate policy without either reigniting price pressures or unnecessarily cooling economic growth. The balance is delicate, and his remarks suggest internal debate over the appropriate path forward remains unresolved.
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