Microsoft Stock Posts Best Run in 26 Years, Erasing 2025 Losses
Microsoft shares are surging in a historic rally not seen since 1999, wiping out all year-to-date losses as capital spending begins to pay off.
Microsoft's stock is staging one of its most powerful rallies in nearly three decades, erasing all of its year-to-date losses in a run analysts say hasn't been seen since 1999. The surge marks a dramatic turnaround for the tech giant, which had struggled earlier in 2025 alongside broader market volatility weighing on mega-cap technology names.
Analysts tracking the move say the rally has staying power, pointing to Microsoft's heavy capital expenditures finally delivering measurable returns. The company has poured billions into cloud infrastructure and artificial intelligence buildout, investments that were once viewed skeptically by cost-conscious investors but are now being credited as the engine behind renewed confidence in the stock.
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The turnaround underscores a broader shift in how Wall Street is evaluating AI-linked spending among the largest technology firms. Where capex once triggered concern about margin compression, investors appear increasingly willing to reward companies that can demonstrate a tangible payoff from those outlays — and Microsoft is emerging as the clearest example of that thesis playing out in real time.
For long-term shareholders, the recovery erases what had been a frustrating stretch of underperformance relative to some peers. Whether the momentum can be sustained will likely depend on upcoming earnings disclosures and whether Microsoft continues to show that its AI-driven investments are translating into accelerating revenue growth rather than simply elevated costs.
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